Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.013733 0.015981 0.018465 0.021410 0.024807 0.028598 0.033150
2025-12-28 0.010868 0.013899 0.017557 0.022289 0.028239 0.035465 0.044899
2026-01-04 0.008750 0.012142 0.016560 0.022717 0.031052 0.041923 0.057154
2026-01-11 0.006879 0.010266 0.014986 0.022009 0.032156 0.046242 0.067229
2026-01-18 0.005645 0.008991 0.013943 0.021754 0.033706 0.051234 0.078797
2026-01-25 0.004632 0.007830 0.012830 0.021148 0.034554 0.055209 0.089305
2026-02-01 0.003883 0.006934 0.011951 0.020712 0.035517 0.059376 0.100527
2026-02-08 0.003322 0.006242 0.011273 0.020460 0.036678 0.063912 0.112804
2026-02-15 0.002822 0.005563 0.010501 0.019907 0.037204 0.067393 0.123660
2026-02-22 0.002593 0.005342 0.010496 0.020698 0.040167 0.075347 0.143165
2026-03-01 0.002293 0.004931 0.010074 0.020640 0.041539 0.080592 0.158361
2026-03-08 0.001964 0.004404 0.009347 0.019879 0.041451 0.083097 0.168687
2026-03-15 0.001729 0.004043 0.008911 0.019662 0.042450 0.087875 0.184151
2026-03-22 0.001639 0.003982 0.009087 0.020738 0.046224 0.098534 0.212566
2026-03-29 0.001513 0.003819 0.009017 0.021276 0.048935 0.107361 0.238289
2026-04-05 0.001320 0.003465 0.008473 0.020680 0.049102 0.110912 0.253341
2026-04-12 0.001179 0.003212 0.008123 0.020474 0.050105 0.116345 0.273070
2026-04-19 0.001036 0.002929 0.007655 0.019919 0.050222 0.119831 0.288858
2026-04-26 0.000920 0.002695 0.007273 0.019515 0.050639 0.124024 0.306718
2026-05-03 0.000826 0.002507 0.006977 0.019282 0.051432 0.129161 0.327339
2026-05-10 0.000731 0.002297 0.006591 0.018761 0.051432 0.132405 0.343787
2026-05-17 0.000699 0.002264 0.006677 0.019510 0.054800 0.144213 0.382560
2026-05-24 0.000638 0.002135 0.006481 0.019456 0.056039 0.150859 0.409128